© 2021 Luther Blissett

Forward Rate Agreement Risk

Forward Rate Agreement (FRA) is a financial contract used to manage interest rate risk. It is an agreement between two parties to exchange a fixed interest rate for a variable interest rate on a predetermined notional amount at a future date. While it helps businesses and investors manage risk, it also comes with some inherent risks of its own, known as Forward Rate Agreement Risk.

The primary risk of FRA is the market risk, which arises when interest rates change significantly in the market. If the interest rates move in the opposite direction than anticipated, the parties enter into the FRA can face significant losses. For instance, if the seller of the FRA expects interest rates to increase, but they decrease, they will have to pay the buyer the agreed-upon fixed interest rate, which will be higher than the variable rate in the market.

Another risk associated with FRA is counterparty risk, which refers to the possibility of one of the parties defaulting on their obligation. If one of the parties fails to meet their obligation, the other party will suffer losses, which can lead to financial distress. To mitigate counterparty risk, parties can use a clearinghouse or a central counterparty to settle the trade.

FRA also exposes the parties to liquidity risk. If one of the parties requires cash to fulfill their obligation, but they are unable to access it in the market, it can lead to a default. This risk is higher for smaller firms and businesses that are less liquid than larger corporations.

Lastly, FRA carries basis risk, which arises when the underlying market index used for the FRA is different from the actual market rate. If the parties use an incorrect index, it can lead to losses as the actual rate deviates from the predicted rate.

In conclusion, while Forward Rate Agreements help to manage interest rate risk, they also come with several risks of their own. Parties entering into FRA must be aware of the inherent risks and take appropriate measures to mitigate them. To minimize the risks, parties can use accurate market indexes, trade with reputable counterparties, and manage their liquidity effectively. By being informed and cautious, businesses and investors can use FRA to their advantage while mitigating the risks associated with it.